Post-Published Note: After more thought, Jaylen Waddle has been bumped down into Tier 4. It'll probably take him some time to develop, but if he does, he has some upside. JJ Zachariason. Shoutout to @Aideiko_FF who has been compiling Superflex ADP from ongoing drafts. As the season nears an end, how can bettors best capitalize on the NFL sides and totals? Sure, that landed me Daniel Jones and Zach Wilson, but I also drafted Justin Herbert. was my pre-draft comparison -- that's what we're working with when it comes to Elijah Moore. or save 10% if you pay annually. JJ wrote an e-book called The Late-Round Quarterback in 2012. Insiders will have access to everything Explorers get, but they also will have access to Q&A livestreams with JJ (at least once a month out of season and twice a week during), rest-of-season rankings and tiers (updated weekly in-season), and rankings and tiers for the upcoming week of games. 326. Agree. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 11Tier: 7. To me, the Falcons don't make Pitts the fourth-overall selection to have him stay at the line blocking like the typical tight end. White, a highly efficient college receiver, is now paired with Tom Brady, who throws to his running backsany running backregardless of the situation. He's worth a flier late in rookie drafts. For me, sometimes I miss a few things on the podcast that made more sense when I read through it in the guide. The landing spot is fine, the draft capital is there, and he should be able to see the field as Seattle's number-three wide receiver pretty quickly. JJ Zachariason: East Coast Dad. Cole Kmet was the Bears leading target-getter with 69 last year, followed by Darnell Mooneys 61, Dante Pettis with 41, and Equanimeous St. Brown wasnt far behind with 38 targets. I'll side with first-round running back history here, though, and continue to view Etienne as a high-end fantasy football asset. He wasn't an early declare. 23. 2. Critical data provided by research and analysis ca He should be able to capture receiving work right away, and since the New York running back room is lacking, he could see a good chunk of early-down work, too. The DLF Dynasty Podcast #555 Super Bowl Fallout, Superflex Mock Draft, and Rookies! If you had a sleeper running back heading into the draft, then that sleeper back was a Day 3 pick. I like that his opinions and takes are mostly data driven which has helped scratch my nerdy fantasy itch. This is Betting the Spread Week 17! Instead of a player like Montgomery, though, Green Bay's hoping they have more of a, He just wasn't overly productive, and it's tough to get super excited about landing with arguably the worst run organization in sports. And that season came during his fifth year in college. Thanks to everyone who's supported, and I'm looking forward to making things better every step of the way. Eric Ebron and JuJu Smith-Schuster could be gone, opening things up for Freiermuth to be the team's primary tight end and target in the middle of the field. As an underneath option on a potentially prolific passing offense, Bell is someone I want plenty of exposure to. He's one of 11 drafted wide receivers with a best-season yards per team attempt rate north of 3.0, and with a strong breakout age, Brown is listed as an 81st percentile prospect according to the model. Let's look at the positives. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 14Tier: 8. 1 yr. ago. After 2021, it's wheels up. Or, at least, there could be competition. Chad is a member of the Fantasy Sports . We pick out four running backs worth thinking about in your dynasty leagues. . There are four wide receivers who could easily be placed in this eighth overall spot -- I'm just opting to put, The main reason I'm high on Marshall -- and likely higher than the consensus -- is because he's one of the only earlier-round wide receivers who checks nearly every alpha wide receiver box. James Cook feels a tad overvalued, with the Bills seeming to view him as a receiving specialist rather than Singletary's every-down heir. However, Pickett has far less of a built-in floor as the 20th pick than Wilson, Herbert, and Jones, who were all top 10 picks. 2009-2019 numberFire, Inc. Certain headlines thanks to Rotoworld. in 2022 -- he's a free agent, and the Dolphins going after Long could signal that they may be ready to move on. Zach Wilson was outplayed by Mike White in 2021; it earned him Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. The approach is extremely nuanced and analytical. To get the full benefits of numberFire, please log in. He's a third-rounder, and he's going to be playing with one of the best young quarterbacks in football, and it's on a team that doesn't necessarily have a locked-in number-two receiver. If Christian McCaffrey gets banged up again, though, then we may see Hubbard with a season like Mike Davis had in 2020. As usual you provide solid information as all dynasty degenerates prepare for the combines and draft. No guarantees are made for any specific outcome. Over the last two seasons with Lamar Jackson under center, the Ravens have thrown the ball 846 times. Pat Kerrane is the co-host of Ship Chasing, an avid high stakes player and a full blown "dynasty guy." His average depth of target was 361st in college football in limited time last year, but that's also how Purdue used him throughout his collegiate career. It'd be completely asinine to spend a luxury pick on a running back who'd only play passing downs, and this is likely just a classic instance of coach speak. On this episode, he looks at players you might want to trade away. Read Locked On Jaguars: Interviews from Day 3 of East-West Shrine Game Practices by with a free trial. Beyond that, it's really about placing your preferred longshot bets. Bell's real-life ceiling isn't that exciting, but his PPR upside is. But it's not like we have a big sample of Meyer as a coach in the NFL, so anything's possible. Rondale Moore rounds out this giant Tier 4, staying in the same position he was in pre-draft. Insiders will have access to everything Explorers get, but they also will have access to Q&A livestreams with JJ (at least once a month out of season and twice a week during), rest-of-season rankings and tiers (updated weekly in-season), and rankings and tiers for the upcoming week of games. Fantasy football doesn't have to feel so luck-driven. Weather info Powered by Dark Sky. Walker carried the ball eight times for 88 yards and a touchdown. Use it as a tool in your arsenal, but do not use it as the end-all decision-maker. Beyond Cook, this class provides several Day 3 backs with interesting paths to opportunity, but Tyler Allgeier is my favorite bet. Theres a small cottage industry thats sprung up around trashing trade calculators. That's because Carter is probably the most talented running back on the Jets depth chart now. That's one of the reasons he's in a separate tier. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. The smart play if you roster either Dotson or Watson is to tag a second-round rookie pick to them and attempt to trade for London for a cheap tier-up. Jalen Hurts has two seasons within the top 25 as well, and hes finished as the QB6 and QB1. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 4Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 3Post-Draft Positional Rank: 3Tier: 2. He ran a 4.38 40-yard dash at his Pro Day, giving him one of the best weight-adjusted 40 times in this class at running back. /r/fantasyfootball - Good For Your Season, Press J to jump to the feed. Now, all our premium tools for Fantasy and Betting are included in one subscription at one low price. And, as we know, Kyle Shanahan's running scheme can be productive for fantasy purposes. Maybe Cleveland finds ways to get him the ball in space, but even if that's the case, it's hard to see Schwartz making a quick fantasy impact in Cleveland's run-heavy scheme. You'll also get priority for mailbag questions for The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast's weekly mailbag episode. I just can't shake the fact that Atwell weighed in at 155 pounds at his Pro Day. All rights reserved. Love hearing this. He may play a little undersized -- he weighed in at 215 pounds at his Pro Day, but. Find details and individual feeds for all of these podcasts, as well as a ton of dynasty fantasy football content at https://dynastyleaguefootball.com. Najee Harris was at the top of my pre-draft rookie rankings, and then he was selected by the Steelers in Round 1, giving him the best landing spot of any running back in this class. The draft guide is awesome and offers a lot more than just semi personalized rankings. He scored as a 74th percentile running back in my model post-draft -- that's nothing to write home about. , and that helped give him a high-end breakout age. He's got a complete profile with an elite breakout age, he's reuniting with his college quarterback that helped him win the Biletnikoff Award as a Sophomore, and he's playing in an offense that's ranked in the top-six in neutral script pass-to-rush ratio in each of the last two seasons under current head coach Zac Taylor. Matt Kelley, aka The Podfather, hosts RotoUnderworld's flagship program delivering in-depth fantasy analysis supported by advanced metrics, insider real talk, and cheeky shenanigans. In a running back class that lacked size, Rhamondre Stevenson really stood out at 6'0'', 230 pounds. Many have pointed to the 2020 Bills as the perfect example of a run-heavy team moving to become a pass-heavy one. is incredible. Dynasty Rankings. But it was bad. He had a reception share of almost 11% during his final collegiate season, his yards per team play was well above average compared to other backs in the class, and his size-speed combo -- he ran a . Williams may have to play a year in a tandem, but it'll probably be his backfield in 2022. Join the Late-Round Fantasy Football Patreon community for exclusive access to, The Late-Round Prospect Guide is a downloadable PDF that includes. The thing is, he's built like a running back, and he sort of plays like a running back -- he was often compared to Ty Montgomery in the pre-draft process, and Montgomery was also selected by the Packers back in 2015. It's just that they haven't had a substantial, reliable workhorse there, so no player has really been a go-to option in fantasy football. First, the draft capital was there. There's a reason draft capital is in my model -- it has signal. Waddle doesn't look nearly as good within my wide receiver model. and our So it feels like something odd is happening re: JSN's value and hype. The scariest part about Travis Etienne's landing spot in Jacksonville is Urban Meyer. In Baltimore as the fourth option at best? Trey McBride is stuck behind Zach Ertz, but that didn't stop Dallas Goedert from emerging. Palmer, as a prospect, just doesn't do it for me. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 30Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 9Post-Draft Positional Rank: 6Tier: 8. I found some of the charts he included somewhat hard/unintuitive to read. Similar to Smith, Jaylen Waddle gets a bump post-draft because of where he was selected, and what happened to his wide receiver competition in this class. The award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast gives you everything you need to know about fantasy football in bite-sized 15-minute episodes. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 3Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 1Post-Draft Positional Rank: 1Tier: 1. Maybe that'll end up being Fitzpatrick. July 18, 2022 10:52pm EDT Carter's biggest knock analytically is that he doesn't have the typical frame for a workhorse in the NFL at 5'8'', 201 pounds, and he combined that small frame with a pretty unremarkable Pro Day. Specifically, his 0.98 yards per route run put him in the Cam Akers (0.93), Ezekiel Elliott (0.88) and Melvin Gordon (0.81) receiving tier, where he should be a capable receiver but won't necessarily dictate a pass-catching role. That's a good sign, as noted earlier, for his potential right away. And speaking of my model, given Harris' first-round draft capital, he comes in as a 96th percentile running back. Who's the rookie RB3? He had a strong Freshman season at Alabama where he outproduced first-round talent like the aforementioned Smith and Henry Ruggs. Find details and individual feeds for all of these podcasts, as well as a ton of dynasty fantasy football content at https://dynastyleaguefootball.com. Everything exists within a range of outcomes except Sam Darnold. But for now, he's an early-down committee back on an antique offense. Tyler Higbee and Dallas Goedert Will Finish Outside the Top-12 at Tight End. -- it's not all bad. For a little background, I've been a fantasy football analyst for about 10 years now, getting my start after I published an e-book titled "The Late-Round Quarterback" back in 2012. Thanks to that incredibly high yards per team pass attempt rate, Eskridge checks in around the 85th percentile mark in my model. If we knew Deshaun Watson would be the quarterback, Collins would be more in the Amon-Ra St. Brown tier -- he'd likely be ahead of St. Brown. This is my first year doing this by myself, so comments about the stuff I'm creating is really, really helpful. He's 6'3'', 205 pounds in a class that lacks size. The Podfather invites top experts to discuss the impact of blockbuster NFL trades, injuries to superstars, and insights into the best fantasy draft strategy and . Both are very much in play for the Superflex 1.01. Fields only threw for more than 200 yards in two of 15 games last season and multiple touchdowns in just five games. Better than good. Overall, I felt it was definitely worth the money to have what I consider to be exceptional "beat the fantasy market" content. Among the 24 running backs who were invited to the combine (yes, I know the combine didn't happen, but they still had an invite list), Harris ranked third in best-season total yards per team play, sixth in best-season reception share, and fourth in best-season total touchdown share. That's the fewest pass attempts in football. But in deeper leagues, it's a get-your-guy year. JJ Zachariason has the perfect Skyy Moore comp, and I'm mad I didn't think of it. The good news is he fell to Carolina, reuniting him with ex-LSU passing game coordinator Joe Brady. Instead of a player like Montgomery, though, Green Bay's hoping they have more of a Deebo Samuel type in Rodgers. The approach is extremely nuanced and analytical. Thank you Peter , Aaron Rodgers FINALLY Done in Green Bay? Dynasty rookie drafts may be over, but our 2021 rookie guide is still a definite asset when preparing you for your 2021 season-long fantasy football drafts. Toney's electric with the ball in his hands, and he's still learning the wide receiver position after playing quarterback in high school and serving more as a gadget player until his final season at Florida. Today on this sub I've learned that you definitely should not buy anything from Ratcliffe, but you definitely should from JJ. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Maybe I'm pulling a Jets and doubling down on a mistake, but I'm still taking shots on Malik Willis. Contact Us. The thought was that Wallace would be a Day 2 pick, but he fell all the way to Pick 131, and he fell to -- of course -- the Baltimore Ravens. Keaontay Ingram is my favorite ultra-cheap contingency play behind James Conner. The thought was that Wallace would be a Day 2 pick, but he fell all the way to Pick 131, and he fell to -- of course -- the Baltimore Ravens. In single-quarterback leagues, we see a big devaluation of quarterbacks. Ive been collecting DLF startup ADP for a while. If you don't believe in purchasing fantasy content (to me a weird take), don't buy it. There are just enough flags to make me not want to reach for him in rookie drafts. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 13Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 9Post-Draft Positional Rank: 9Tier: 7. PGA DFS & Daily Fantasy Golf Advice. If he can't emerge as a receiver under those circumstances, it wasn't happening. Tools. If there's one first-round wide receiver who I'd point to having the most fantasy football bust potential, it's Toney. Elite draft capital is a big deal. NFL Draft Futures Betting: Who Will Be the First Defensive Player Drafted? To get the full benefits of numberFire, please log in. Here's how I put it pre-draft: "If Hall lands with an established receiving back, it could take him a few years to develop into a three-down optionakin toDavid Montgomery(0.98 YPRR). Obviously, it gives you a trade value of the deal offered: Of note, the above league is a start 11, 14-team superflex league so quarterbacks are valued highly. We offer up some potential moves you can make with your early fourth-round picks this year: draft or trade? would be the quarterback, Collins would be more in the Amon-Ra St. Brown tier -- he'd likely be ahead of St. Brown.
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